The market for private 4G / 5G networks is growing larger and more complex, both in terms of deployment scenarios and the regulatory / compliance oversight that will be required.
While there are many ways to count private networks, there seems to be little doubt that they will become much more common at various scales in the next few years.[1] Numbers will rise from low thousands to tens of thousands—maybe 100,000 or more, depending on market and technology trends.
This increase is being driven by the availability of suitable local spectrum bands—based on various sharing mechanisms developed by regulators, together with more options for deployment and operation. Numerous suppliers are trying to make private 4G or 5G networks “as easy as Wi-Fi” to obtain and run.
There is also a proliferating range of delivery channels, from direct setup by more skilled enterprises to a range of specialized systems integrators and vertical-focused managed-service providers. In addition, traditional mobile network operators (MNOs) are also present in the market for enterprise 5G, either through providing similar isolated networks or various extensions or slices of their main national infrastructure, using their exclusive licensed frequencies.
While much of the discussion of private cellular considers individual, isolated sites and specific companies, the real world will have to deal with more overlap. Just as a given place may have a dozen or more separate Wi-Fi networks visible, we can also expect a growing number to have multiple private cellular implementations in relatively close proximity.
These will perhaps share the same or adjacent spectrum bands. The network owners will want to avoid interference to ensure that business-critical mobile networks are not disrupted and prevent contravening their license terms. There could also be challenges outside the radio domain, for instance, if different networks share common mobile network codes for international mobile subscriber identities (IMSIs) or subscriber identity modules (SIMs).
Some of the emerging scenarios for multiple overlapping or nearby networks include:
In the near term, such issues might be considered a “high-quality problem” as they are symptoms of a growing market for private wireless. However, as they become more widespread, there will likely be calls for more measures to ensure isolation—and also to work out ways to squeeze in more networks to a given geographic area.
We are still in the early stages of regulators providing local spectrum for private networks. The rules and mechanisms vary widely by country, with automated systems such as the Spectrum Access System (SAS) platforms for the US Citizens Broadband Radio Service (CBRS) bands and more manual administrative arrangements for the UK’s Shared Access Licenses and Germany’s Campus Networks.
In most cases, the private network bands are in the 2–5GHz mid-band range, such as 3.8–4.2GHz, but there are also examples of sub-1GHz allocations for sectors such as utilities and energy, as well as a few markets with 24–28GHz mmWave private networks.
The power and separation rules for these allocations have largely been conservative, but as demand and usage increase, we can expect three new trends:
There are already signs of these trends in UK regulator Ofcom’s review of its shared access license framework,[1] which states: “We propose to do this by relaxing certain coordination assumptions to better match real-world conditions, and by allowing additional user input in coordination decisions.”
But for all three of these themes, a key enabler for ensuring adequate isolation of private 5G networks will be suitable spectrum-sensing equipment, perhaps in combination with databases or, eventually, digital twins of the RF environment.
There will likely be a mix of one-off testing of spectrum usage and ongoing monitoring efforts. This will probably align with the critical nature of specific sites and networks and the risks of overlap with neighbors. Currently, limited attention is paid to these issues, as the focus has been on initial adoption and growing the market. But thinking ahead about this next-phase issue seems wise, especially for the most crowded potential locations.
[1] https://www.ofcom.org.uk/consultations-and-statements/category-1/consultation-supporting-increased-use-of-shared-spectrum
[1] https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7150408960473255937/
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Dean Bubley, founder of Disruptive Analysis, writes guest posts for CRFS. He is an independent analyst and advisor to the wireless and telecoms industry and has covered the evolution of private cellular networks since 2001.